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Comienza la temporada de huracanes 2024 en el Atlántico – Nuestroclima
La estación de huracanes de 2024 empezará mañana de forma oficial, el 1 de junio, y terminará el 30 de noviembre .
Los ciclones tropicales son como motores gigantes que usan aire cálido y húmedo como combustible. Por eso se forman sólo sobre océanos de agua templada, cerca del ecuador. El aire cálido y húmedo sobre los océanos se eleva desde cerca de la superficie. Como el aire se mueve hacia arriba y se aleja de la superficie, queda menos aire cerca de la superficie. Otra forma de decir lo mismo es que el aire cálido se eleva causando un área de menor presión de aire cerca del océano, en este caso, en el Atlántico.
asta la fecha no se ha formado ninguna tormenta tropical o subtropical nombrada por el NHC. Esto no es indicativo de que esta estación será poco activa, todo lo contrario, diversas organizaciones meteorológicas, universidades y expertos apuntan a que la de 2024 será muy activa si la comparamos con una estación promedio.
Una estación muy activa para 2024 De hecho, el experto en meteorología tropical, Philip Klotzbach , indica en un tuit reciente que 23 grupos han enviado sus predicciones de huracanes para dicha cuenca a la plataforma de predicciones de huracanes estacionales hasta el momento para la temporada de huracanes del Atlántico de 2024. Todos los grupos prevén una temporada superior a lo normal , y el promedio de todos los pronósticos prevé 11 huracanes.
Predicción de la NOAA Por ejemplo, la NOAA y los pronósticos de su Servicio Meteorológico Nacional, NWS, predicen una actividad de huracanes superior a lo normal en la cuenca del Atlántico este año.
Las perspectivas de la NOAA para la temporada de huracanes en el Atlántico de 2024, que se extiende del 1 de junio al 30 de noviembre, predicen un 85 % de probabilidad de una temporada por encima de lo normal , un 10 % de probabilidad de una temporada casi normal y un 5 % de probabilidad de una temporada por debajo de lo normal. estación.
La NOAA pronostica un rango de 17 a 25 tormentas tropicales con nombre en total (14 es el promedio). De ellas, se pronostica que de 8 a 13 se convertirán en huracanes (7 en promedio), incluidos de 4 a 7 huracanes mayores , categoría 3, 4 o 5 (3 en promedio). Los pronósticos tienen un 70 % de confianza en estos rangos.
Con información de: https://www.tiempo.com/ https://spaceplace.nasa.gov/
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